France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $39.66
- Potential payout
- $67.8
- Potential profit
- $28.14
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Polymarket Trader
Rarez
@nnac10
0xa796eadee5d8303b171db50a74a229dcfea503bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $103.29
- Realized PnL
- $228.05
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $44.85
- Potential payout
- $61.87
- Potential profit
- $17.01
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.73
- Multiplier
- 6.04x
- User PnL
- $6.78
Under position
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 Corners
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.27
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.67
No position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.38
Over position
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 4?Yes 80.8% 61.87 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder 56% 17.86 shares
- Spread: France (-1.5)France 59% 67.8 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under 73% 54.79 shares
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over 61% 49.18 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 69% 100 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 54% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 8?Yes 5% 56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?No 99.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?No 70% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 7?Yes 89% 35 shares