Polymarket Trader

AncientWind

0xa7a5edd79c0332978e227c092af6dbc82f35c417

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $615.62
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.92K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.9K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $68
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.79K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$211.54

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $260.31
Potential payout: $964.13
Potential profit: $703.81
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$77.08

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $799.99
User PnL: -$164

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $49.81
Potential payout: $301.89
Potential profit: $252.08
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$66.19

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $414.87

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $152.8

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.07

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.94

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Down 47% 11.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 41% 12.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 80% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 66% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 37.7% 66.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 63.6% 39.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 38% 13.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 69% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Down 17% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Down 42% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Up 77% 129.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Up 58% 43.1 shares