Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $491.32
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
TerraIncognito
0xa7a665c57429421609bd15972d5e2a60b8bbefdd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.01K
- Realized PnL
- $611.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $207.95
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $19.32
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.95
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $17.81
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $169.69
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $149.36
- Potential payout
- $178.87
- Potential profit
- $29.51
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $22.36
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $160.46
- Potential payout
- $167.58
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $117.36
- Potential payout
- $140.13
- Potential profit
- $22.77
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $119.33
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $115.18
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $78.64
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $12.27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $51.09
- Potential payout
- $51.22
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $9.09
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $37.66
- Potential payout
- $45.65
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
No position
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $28.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.35
Dolphins position
Commanders vs. Dolphins
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.33
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.11
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.98
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.63
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.45
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.36
Yes position
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
Yes position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.35x
- User PnL
- $20.06
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72
No position
French election called by October 17?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.77
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.67
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.45
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
No position
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
No position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
Yes position
Will Trump announce tariffs on Australia on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.77
No position
ECB rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes 52.6% 44 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 97.2% 60 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 71% 178.87 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 91% 98.9 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 70% 60 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 90.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 92% 45.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 51.22 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 91% 68.68 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 16% 187.5 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.2% 95.65 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No 79.3% 27.74 shares