Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
AntFrom
0xa7cdb44325034d37316e6be72e4df6da2162fe7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.46
- Realized PnL
- $935.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.92
- Potential profit
- $282.92
- User PnL
- -$147.12
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.79
- Potential profit
- $262.79
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.39
- Potential profit
- $206.39
- User PnL
- -$131.49
Yes position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12PM ET
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $107.13
- Potential profit
- $99.09
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$41.97
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.43
- Potential profit
- $104.43
- User PnL
- -$80
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.41
- Potential profit
- $71.41
- User PnL
- -$41.42
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.79
- Potential profit
- $69.79
- User PnL
- -$40.85
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $57.09
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $10.47
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $34.17
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $21.39
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$10.83
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $45.16
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $19.91
- Potential payout
- $25.22
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.32
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.89
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.66
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.55
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.21
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.61
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.81
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.24
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.36
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.92
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.76
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.11
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.72
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 114.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 81% 55.56 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 43.48 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 99.8% 32.78 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.9% 32.69 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 32.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 96.1% 54.58 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 93% 45.16 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.3% 25.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 91.6% 54.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46.7% 107.13 shares