No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $465.28K
- Potential payout
- $475.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.3K
Polymarket Trader
someone2026
0xa7ce6905990451685b70082424ac9129418d6398
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $720.63K
- Realized PnL
- $22.15K
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $32.32K
- Potential payout
- $84.95K
- Potential profit
- $52.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.93K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $68.36K
- Potential payout
- $84.92K
- Potential profit
- $16.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $56.25K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $38.92K
- Potential payout
- $41.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $29.03K
- Potential payout
- $30.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.15K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.97K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- User PnL
- -$896.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $183.28
Yes position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$280.36
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $116.85
- Potential payout
- $640.27
- Potential profit
- $523.42
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$25.09
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $236.96
- Potential payout
- $236.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.53
No position
Will Binance list $DEGEN in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.99
No position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.69
No position
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.91
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.17
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.26
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.69
No position
Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No 96% 612.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.9% 54,501.62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No 93.7% 1,513.21 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 21% 671.81 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No 92.1% 30 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No 94.8% 3,929.7 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 21.2% 8,887 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.5% 184 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 97% 32,729.43 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No 86% 11,715.83 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 22.2% 14,443.75 shares
- Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Yes 15% 1,869.05 shares