Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $339.55
- Potential payout
- $23.42K
- Potential profit
- $23.08K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.2K
Polymarket Trader
KiruaTrading
0xa7d2ec6680f4e5f6ab0da244d8006eec3e20f954
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.78K
- Realized PnL
- $25.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $70.21
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$897.87
No position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $192.38
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$902.86
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $37.74
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$15.71
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $238.81
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $871.95
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$75.71
Yes position
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$179.23
Yes position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $38.23
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$10.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$816.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $874.6
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $136.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$490
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $17.21
- Potential payout
- $906.02
- Potential profit
- $888.81
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$18.41
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $511.53
- Potential payout
- $523.04
- Potential profit
- $11.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $128.07
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $305.27
- Potential profit
- $304.51
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $218.98
- Potential payout
- $250.26
- Potential profit
- $31.28
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $133.79
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $21.29
- Potential payout
- $185.11
- Potential profit
- $163.82
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$52.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $110.07
- Potential payout
- $114.12
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.78
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $106.29
- Potential profit
- $103.15
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $94.82
- Potential profit
- $91.03
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$47.85
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $81.45
- Potential profit
- $80.35
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$22.8
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $55.97
- Potential payout
- $56.25
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $14.91
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $55.12
- Potential profit
- $47.13
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.7%
- Current value
- $17.19
- Potential payout
- $33.87
- Potential profit
- $16.68
- Multiplier
- 1.97x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.3%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $13.41
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 2.03x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.23
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.66
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.71
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.53
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.8
Yes position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.95
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $540
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530
No position
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.88
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.81
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.3
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.16
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $283.5
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.92
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.03
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.41
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.48
No position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 33.8% 8.44 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 49.8% 250.83 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 9.2% 429 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 5% 135.65 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 27.6% 1,191 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 10% 30 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 49.8% 10.09 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 28% 23.5 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 32% 268 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 31% 30 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 31% 7.31 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 31% 65 shares