No position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.74K
- Potential profit
- $10.74K
- User PnL
- -$728.24
Polymarket Trader
0xa7d3...33bc
0xa7d3a5ed14bb494d63fe7c086ef5c3738fcd33bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.14K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.13K
- Win rate
- 27.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $671.55
- Potential payout
- $4.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $335.96
No position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$44.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$100
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $464.63
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $739.08
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $334.63
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.52
- Potential profit
- $415.52
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $102.22
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $33.21
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$89.44
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$123.13
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$219.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$503.96
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$749.73
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.93K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 10.8% 1,203.7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 32% 444.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 12.5% 280.04 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 16.2% 227.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 12.6% 317.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 12.6% 794.47 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 17.7% 772.73 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 5.4% 1,045 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.4% 1,703.7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 4.5% 204.58 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.2% 1,133.15 shares