Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$147.19
Polymarket Trader
0xa7De9cfEB83E950c2Ea691DA4A508A063890eD37-1776369015877
0xa7de9cfeb83e950c2ea691da4a508a063890ed37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.42
- Realized PnL
- -$70.33
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $24.61
- Potential payout
- $487.35
- Potential profit
- $462.73
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$42.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Blazers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trail Blazers position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 13.9% 487.35 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 8% 1,875 shares
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers 48% 24.61 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?Yes 69% 11.49 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 28% 28.94 shares
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?Yes 14% 41.75 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail BlazersBlazers 19.2% 31.3 shares
- NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail BlazersBlazers 18.7% 31.3 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,312.98 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes 5.2% 328.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 72% 21.73 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes 5.1% 984.47 shares