Polymarket Trader

0xA7E96EAcf8BC94118519bF8Ad38E98aC61D94f6c-1764835690707

0xa7e96eacf8bc94118519bf8ad38e98ac61d94f6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.04K
Realized PnL: $22.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $17.03K
Potential profit: $15.42K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.7K

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.96K
Potential profit: $5.96K
User PnL: -$2.99K

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $254.86
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$294.07

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $166.18
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $905.93
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$562.86

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Ends Aug 14, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $38.54
Potential profit: $36.92
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $924.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.18

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.57

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.39

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.07

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.76

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.94

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.7

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.75

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.18

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.18

No position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.77

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.89

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.82

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 26?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 3.6% 38.54 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 18% 13 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 1,260.82 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 33.9% 9 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 48% 140 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 68% 141.01 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 49% 665.53 shares
Iran leadership change by March 31?

Yes 37% 2,362.99 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 53.7% 785.94 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 68% 2,722.08 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 54% 1,062.08 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 54% 1,361.65 shares