Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.86
- Potential profit
- $332.86
- User PnL
- -$12
Polymarket Trader
OutOfControll
0xa7f5b9250e47dd0c38c6029d6be8f5c48376ac95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.07
- Realized PnL
- $169.37
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $274.58
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.55
- Potential profit
- $225.55
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $113.8
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $14.61
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $96.5
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $14.61
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $84.24
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $8.66
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $53.84
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $8.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.32
- Potential profit
- $62.32
- User PnL
- -$6.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.98
- Potential profit
- $58.98
- User PnL
- -$39.28
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.71
- Potential profit
- $53.71
- User PnL
- -$29.54
No position
Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.95
- Potential profit
- $51.95
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.9
- Potential profit
- $51.9
- User PnL
- -$19.72
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $44.95
- Potential profit
- $36.08
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $3.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.17
- Potential profit
- $30.17
- User PnL
- -$7.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.64
- Potential profit
- $24.64
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.55
- Potential profit
- $23.55
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.43
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $7.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 24.4% 178.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 14% 178.57 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.3% 120.48 shares
- Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?No 1.9% 51.95 shares
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 65% 23.08 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 77% 25.97 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.8% 535.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 20% 74.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 28% 66.29 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?No 47% 39.49 shares