hindu

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33K
Potential profit: $6.33K
User PnL: -$5.72K

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $3.12K
User PnL: -$1.39K

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.49K

Yes position

Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$662.85

Yes position

Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77K
User PnL: -$168.87

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$407

Yes position

Park Sung-jae in jail by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.66
Potential profit: $348.66
User PnL: -$41.92

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $300
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $36

No position

Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$10.03

No position

Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Yoon in jail before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.73K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.58K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.15K

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.91K

Yes position

Yoon arrested by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.58K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.57K

Dan position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.18K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69K

Yes position

Yoon arrested before September?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7K

Yes position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.12K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24K

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71K

Yes position

Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47K

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.22K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18K

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38K

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51K

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?