No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
0xa804...7334
0xa804e57920b24ee03ce48a974393ad35cf967334
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $19.51
- Realized PnL
- $103.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $719.86
- Potential profit
- $714.46
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $14.11
- Potential payout
- $25.42
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 719.86 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 85% 17.65 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 25.42 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes 26% 57.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 84% 17.86 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 21% 71.43 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 0.1% 15,000 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes 22% 68.18 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Yes 89.7% 16.73 shares