Polymarket Trader

Numitus1994

0xa815f590e64fa64d417df72c581a32f5ff449cbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $545.8
Realized PnL: $2.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.64
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$67.79

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $62.85
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$14.98

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $40.84
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $122.24
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: $9.42

Yes position

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $11.14
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $809.44
Potential profit: $806.21
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$20.44

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $14.07
Potential payout: $804
Potential profit: $789.93
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $44.62
Potential payout: $804
Potential profit: $759.38
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$8.24

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $760.99
Potential profit: $759.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$33.05

Yes position

Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $725.5
Potential profit: $705.55
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$24.21

Yes position

Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $13.19
Potential payout: $694.3
Potential profit: $681.11
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $672.76
Potential profit: $672.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $618.5
Potential profit: $612.62
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$10.22

Yes position

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $37.78
Potential payout: $581.16
Potential profit: $543.38
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $25.31
Potential payout: $550.12
Potential profit: $524.81
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $550.01
Potential profit: $543.13
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$21.2

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $33.18
Potential payout: $510.4
Potential profit: $477.22
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $482
Potential profit: $481.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.66

Yes position

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $10.67
Potential payout: $474.36
Potential profit: $463.68
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $19.61
Potential payout: $435.68
Potential profit: $416.08
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$12.59

Yes position

Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $408.01
Potential profit: $406.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $26.52
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $381.48
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $22.29
Potential payout: $405.2
Potential profit: $382.91
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $15.19
Potential payout: $404.94
Potential profit: $389.75
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$11.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.09

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.58

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.19

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.39

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.54

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.76

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.12

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.25

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.74

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.52

Yes position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.29

Yes position

Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.9

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.56

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.29

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.46

Yes position

Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.15

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.83

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.31

Yes position

Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.29

Yes position

Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $600B?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.48

No position

Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.84

No position

Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch

Yes 6% 42 shares
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?

Yes 9% 27.29 shares
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 9% 21 shares
Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.1% 51 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?

Yes 12% 51 shares
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 4% 201 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 1,208 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 120 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 9% 12.22 shares
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?

Yes 9% 12.22 shares
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes 1.6% 68.75 shares
Will Cameron Boozer be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 0.5% 2.52 shares