Polymarket Trader

TheSauron

0xa82651e7d1912695e762b48161f5d14ce437f980

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $416.05
Realized PnL: $19.04
Win rate: 88.2%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $113.81
Potential payout: $113.86
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $15.12

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.3
Potential profit: $110.3
User PnL: -$30.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $68.11
Potential payout: $68.22
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $18.11

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.66
Potential profit: $67.66
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $65.55
Potential payout: $65.62
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $15.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $59.43
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $9.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $56.88
Potential profit: $56.8
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$49.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.4
Potential payout: $56.43
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $52.66
Potential payout: $52.71
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $2.66

Team Nemesis position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

REKONIX position

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.61
Potential profit: $31.61
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.98

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Rune Eaters position

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

GamerLegion position

Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

PlayTime position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

GamerLegion position

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?

No 86.5% 56.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?

No 84% 59.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 9?

No 94.9% 52.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?

No 73.3% 68.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?

No 87.9% 56.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?

No 86.8% 57.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?

No 88.6% 56.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 9?

No 76.2% 65.62 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Virtus.pro 18% 166.67 shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

Team Nemesis 30% 33.33 shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

Team Spirit 69% 78.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?

No 99.9% 14.56 shares