Polymarket Trader

Ald0

0xa826dc85ef90c170494cb157113a2576779e6375

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.06
Realized PnL: $67.75
Win rate: 68.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $26.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $33.9
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.2%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $33.4
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.29
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.34
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $16.61
Potential profit: $10.96
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.61
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.7

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.08

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$5.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 10 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 72% 10 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 42% 5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 10 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 5 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 70% 10 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 83% 10 shares
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.2% 25 shares
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.1% 99.98 shares
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.3% 100 shares
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 0.5% 99.98 shares
Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-04-18?

Yes 56% 4.93 shares