Polymarket Trader

leonshark

0xa82a2e4ea6329b13cf03a8931ed1b8213d7bbd76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $149.35
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $605.72
Potential profit: $605.72
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.17
Potential profit: $133.17
User PnL: -$57.8

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.49
Potential profit: $124.49
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.11
Potential profit: $66.11
User PnL: -$9.96

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.41
Potential profit: $52.41
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.18
Potential profit: $40.18
User PnL: -$19.69

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.69
Potential profit: $39.69
User PnL: -$16.67

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.41
Potential profit: $37.41
User PnL: -$10.1

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.97
Potential profit: $24.97
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.6
Potential profit: $14.6
User PnL: -$3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.36

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.61

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 43.4% 133.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Down 56.3% 105.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Down 44.6% 105.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Up 15.1% 66.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 85% 40.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 24.4% 40.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Up 23% 43.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 48.7% 39.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Down 25% 39.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 8% 24.97 shares
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Yes 19.1% 52.41 shares
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 23% 31.44 shares