0xa82c6D29Bc9AF5c8E9932A07240013F38cB8Dd71-1756138241043

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $414.05
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.59K
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$33.88

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $542.44
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $193.55

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $414.05
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 7.25x
User PnL: $14.62

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $435.01
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$241.99

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 60.9%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $308.87

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $63.69
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$40.92

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $137.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $962.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$53.98

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $901.2
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $123.67

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $700
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $16.87
Potential payout: $788.1
Potential profit: $771.23
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$84.13

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $640.3
Potential payout: $699.78
Potential profit: $59.48
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $13.47

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $555.18
Potential payout: $627.32
Potential profit: $72.14
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $6.41

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $416.94
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $183.06
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$9.06

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $86.96
Potential payout: $599.69
Potential profit: $512.74
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$12.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $72.11
Potential payout: $576.87
Potential profit: $504.76
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $37.78
Potential payout: $500.46
Potential profit: $462.68
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$19.34

Yes position

Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $42.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $457.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $494.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $494.75
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.75
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $491.5
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.5
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $142.45
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $357.55
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $472.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $723.47

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.09

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $558.25

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $250.85

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.38

Yes position

Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.81

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.09

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.32

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.3

Yes position

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.49

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $108.92

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.1

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.99

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.37

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.16

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.99

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.44

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $8

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?