Polymarket Trader

cfght

0xa83324ead0cd193c286de8b004bc2419534ee83b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.91
Realized PnL: $0.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.06
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close above $50 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Rodrygo stay with Real Madrid?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Yes 83.8% 1.19 shares
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Yes 95% 1.05 shares
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 60% 1.67 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 79% 1.27 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Yes 73.3% 1.36 shares
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?

Yes 98.1% 1.02 shares
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Yes 68% 1.47 shares
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close above $50 end of November?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares