Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
changxuao
@frhnd19928995
0xa86bc0d62fb6ba457f666a1ac1c362482df731ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $25.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 24?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $470.55
- Potential profit
- $470.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.76
- Potential profit
- $399.76
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.41
- Potential profit
- $309.41
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14
Hornets position
Thunder vs. Hornets
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$3.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
BIG position
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs BIG (BO3) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Playoffs
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Military action against Iran ends on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 23?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 15?No 99.8% 98.2 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 3?No 99.9% 98.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No 99.9% 98.1 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?No 99.9% 98.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 99.9% 98.1 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?Yes 99.9% 98.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No 99.9% 98.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 99.9% 56.06 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?No 99.9% 30.03 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?No 99.9% 12.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,050 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 3?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares