Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $27.9
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $172.11
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Polymarket Trader
HE110W0R1D
0xa86f687d7eed8760decdbf3dd6d7ed59c1e8022c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $562.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Caleb Wilson be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Cameron Boozer be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $184.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Darryn Peterson be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.9
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $174
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $191.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $187.55
- Potential payout
- $189.83
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $183.79
- Potential payout
- $184.71
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $167.64
- Potential payout
- $169.59
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.86
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.06
Y
Yes position
Will Switzerland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.95
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.2B?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $40.38
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $54.63
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$52.73
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $82.8
- Potential payout
- $83.51
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $72.57
- Potential payout
- $75.01
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.67
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.02
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.1
Yes position
Over $4M committed to the Fluent public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.57
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.36
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $19.24
No position
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Rockets position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.08
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $17.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.72
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.65
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.34
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.38
Yes position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 99.9% 36.11 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 75.5% 50 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 37% 50 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 84% 26.23 shares
- Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?Yes 95.6% 5.37 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95.4% 76 shares
- Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?No 77% 20 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85.6% 200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 94.6% 29.83 shares
- Will Scott Brown be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No 94.5% 21.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 23?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?No 99.5% 100 shares