No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $578.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $21.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $50.1
Polymarket Trader
rehdegd
0xa871763b011f478664086f322197af3046c9d991
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $919.88
- Realized PnL
- $5
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $341.78
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 96.8% 350 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 350 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 88% 600 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 90% 800 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 85% 800 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 44% 400 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 51% 400 shares