No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $9.04
- Potential payout
- $16.28
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Polymarket Trader
0xa872...3786
0xa87238fdef98f23d09c7866d8fd2fb1048e63786
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.32
- Realized PnL
- $10.73
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $10.13
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $11.45
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $9.42
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $9.15
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.92
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.68
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 73% 6.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 7.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53.1% 9.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.7% 7.07 shares
- Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 7?Down 76% 6.08 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes 69% 7.2 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of July 6 2026?No 71% 7.1 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 73% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 40% 11.45 shares