Polymarket Trader

0xa873c2eB6C228e03C747394A4C439fDaF7dE6b47-1768305008262

0xa873c2eb6c228e03c747394a4c439fdaf7de6b47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $94.89
Realized PnL: -$9.53
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $50 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.27
Potential profit: $100.27
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $79.55
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $90.88
Potential profit: $90.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $62.33
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$15.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $61.96
Potential profit: $61.9
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $59.57
Potential profit: $59.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.6%
Current value: $14.4
Potential payout: $54.13
Potential profit: $39.73
Multiplier: 3.76x
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $47.34
Potential profit: $47.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $24.89
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: -$7.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $5.76
User PnL: -$5.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.76

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $27.39

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.49

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.48

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

No position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $6.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$110

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 54.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 4?

Yes 4.8% 61.96 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?

Yes 6.3% 47.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?

Yes 5% 59.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?

Yes 5.5% 90.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 3,571.42 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Yes 99.9% 58.82 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 1,280.85 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 30% 66.67 shares