No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.59K
- Potential payout
- $8.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$755.5
Polymarket Trader
0xa87A6C4444852BC2384BB74af67FDd0fbA0f5403-1764515128436
0xa87a6c4444852bc2384bb74af67fdd0fba0f5403
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.99K
- Realized PnL
- $344.92
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.49K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- User PnL
- -$511.35
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $395.59
- Potential payout
- $841.69
- Potential profit
- $446.1
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$115.32
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $414.99
- Potential profit
- $414.99
- User PnL
- -$207.54
No position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332
- Potential profit
- $332
- User PnL
- -$226.27
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.98
- Potential profit
- $150.98
- User PnL
- -$17.3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $58 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.57
- Potential profit
- $85.57
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $68 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.56
- Potential profit
- $79.56
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.1
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Yes position
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-02-19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$7.75
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.41
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.99
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.68
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.95
Yes position
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-02-18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
No position
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 49% 240 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 48% 389 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 53% 410 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 60% 10 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 60% 38.85 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 60% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 60% 100 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 59% 465 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 63% 9 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 64% 6 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 64% 10 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 58% 40.65 shares