Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $12.77
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Polymarket Trader
0xA88fE610E85B4212829ac6c52115928759DC790f-1775925995231
0xa88fe610e85b4212829ac6c52115928759dc790f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.55
- Realized PnL
- $549.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $27.39
- Potential payout
- $280.91
- Potential profit
- $253.52
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.19
- Potential profit
- $224.19
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.71
- Potential profit
- $172.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $104.68
- Potential profit
- $100.08
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.32
- Potential profit
- $56.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $35.66
- Potential profit
- $33.26
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Y
Yes position
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $34.01
- Potential profit
- $29.56
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $29.94
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $25.77
- Potential profit
- $20.76
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Y
Yes position
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.96
- Potential profit
- $22.96
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $8.96
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.71
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.62
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.93
Yes position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.29
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 9.8% 51.02 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?Yes 4.8% 104.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.4% 29.94 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 25.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?Yes 99.9% 33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?Yes 30.3% 33 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 8.7% 229.89 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 1,250 shares
- Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 14.7% 34.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?No 7.6% 26.32 shares