No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34K
- Potential profit
- $33.34K
- User PnL
- -$375.75
Polymarket Trader
Pepe1234567
0xa894ea33568d17d902d8b548ca5c316cff5553da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.4K
- Realized PnL
- $21.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.45K
- Potential profit
- $13.45K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.35K
- Potential profit
- $9.35K
- User PnL
- -$419.98
Yes position
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.47K
- Potential profit
- $6.47K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.15K
- Potential profit
- $6.15K
- User PnL
- -$544.98
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $20.55
- Potential payout
- $5.87K
- Potential profit
- $5.85K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$179.44
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $3.83K
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$870.48
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.13K
- Potential profit
- $227.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $703.44
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.54K
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $137.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $36
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $221.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $280.43
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $203.21
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $99.73
No position
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $400.35
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$237.44
No position
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $59.86
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $149.43
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $260.31
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$142.97
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $281.93
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$196.52
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $89.09
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $16.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $31.11
Yes position
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $893.63
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $216.47
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$6.37
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.4%
- Current value
- $307.23
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $773.03
- Multiplier
- 3.52x
- User PnL
- -$192.77
Yes position
Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$70
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95K
Yes position
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.81
Yes position
Will the US add less than 25k jobs in February?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.39
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.53
No position
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.33
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.7
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430.46
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.74
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.31
No position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.66
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.35
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.05
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.46
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.62
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.24
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.99
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.16
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.03
Yes position
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 55.1% 162.41 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 65% 37.92 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 66.77 shares
- Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No 53.3% 187.7 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 10% 1,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 26% 384.62 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?No 84.7% 118.08 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 100.7 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 100.7 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 100.81 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.6% 512.31 shares