Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $97.48
- Potential payout
- $11.47K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.64K
Polymarket Trader
michi1
0xa89518aca5a633a79ad1e9737209c9689f83faac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.47K
- Realized PnL
- $20.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $11.37K
- Potential payout
- $11.47K
- Potential profit
- $97.48
- User PnL
- $5.64K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 2-3°F on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.31
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $488
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 16?Yes 0.1% 360 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?No 1% 2.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?Yes 0.1% 149.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?No 1.5% 8 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 15?Yes 0.1% 515.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on June 15?Yes 0.1% 87.79 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 15?Yes 0.1% 199.87 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 15?Yes 0.1% 52.19 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 15?Yes 0.1% 200 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 15?Yes 0.1% 30 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on June 16?Yes 0.1% 160 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?Yes 0.1% 109.22 shares