Polymarket Trader

w0x7ce

0xa8a323667454742a7cbb78ecb92936377be381ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.8
Realized PnL: $34.18
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $39.96
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.37
Potential profit: $19.37
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $17.84
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $0.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$3.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.37
Potential profit: $9.37
User PnL: -$1.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.04

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.7

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?

No 98.3% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?

No 96.8% 40 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?

No 99.1% 30.27 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Yes 97% 10 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 35% 20 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 29% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Down 12% 8.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 13% 8.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 99% 9.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Up 21% 4.43 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 150 shares