No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.99K
- Potential payout
- $9.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $362.15
Polymarket Trader
nellojello
0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.41K
- Realized PnL
- $8.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.81K
- User PnL
- -$336.55
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $226.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$19.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $687.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$866.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $957.9
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$419.1
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$211.8
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$269.99
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $133.6
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $666.4
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$74.4
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $111.58
- Potential payout
- $769.52
- Potential profit
- $657.94
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$159.82
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $741.62
- Potential profit
- $730.86
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$176.12
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $700 on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.4
- Potential profit
- $376.4
- User PnL
- -$48.36
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $291.9
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $198.54
- Potential payout
- $256.18
- Potential profit
- $57.64
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$15.46
Yes position
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$30.62
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $84
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $15.08
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$49.7
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.9
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$97.9
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $710
South Africa position
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $670
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.93
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.36
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.44
Baez position
Australian Open Men's: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Sebastian Baez
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.69
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $121.65
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $114.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $113.31
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.8
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 64% 9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 67% 1,900 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 6,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 96.2% 2,696.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 65% 160 shares
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.6% 800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 65.6% 3,300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 82% 756.1 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 98.8% 240 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 84% 6,500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 421.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 6,578.23 shares