Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $278.54
- Potential profit
- $266.59
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Polymarket Trader
0xA8b207A004a5b33c39A6468c195a42d51fFe8fCE-1781157375981
0xa8b207a004a5b33c39a6468c195a42d51ffe8fce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.36
- Realized PnL
- -$99.68
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.67
- Potential profit
- $252.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $202.89
- Potential profit
- $200.15
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.68
- Potential profit
- $124.68
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.97
- Potential profit
- $97.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $50.63
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $49.77
- Potential profit
- $48.82
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.75
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.38
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.04
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 24?Yes 7.9% 50.63 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 24?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?Yes 11.2% 44.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.7% 22.96 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 22-28?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Yes 65.2% 1.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7.6% 131.34 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 6.8% 147.21 shares