Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $612.26
- Potential payout
- $76.53K
- Potential profit
- $75.92K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.17K
Polymarket Trader
131071
0xa8b964a5e729d2af6314ca8b7babc8c8cb4b6b7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.21K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.58K
- Win rate
- 9.5%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.71K
- Potential profit
- $72.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.82K
- Potential profit
- $24.82K
- User PnL
- -$588.68
Yes position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $864.47
- Potential payout
- $14.41K
- Potential profit
- $13.54K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $4.6K
- Potential payout
- $12.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.76K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $5.16K
- Potential payout
- $9.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $663.31
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.01K
- Potential profit
- $8.01K
- User PnL
- -$201.32
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $130.25
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$370.42
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $129.76
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$503.15
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$7.92
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$300.93
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$123
Yes position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $232.07
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 5.38x
- User PnL
- $52.7
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $137.43
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $36.44
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.91
- Potential profit
- $849.91
- User PnL
- -$31.64
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $732.89
- Potential profit
- $732.89
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.48
- Potential profit
- $599.48
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.98
- Potential profit
- $401.98
- User PnL
- -$60.61
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.5
- Potential profit
- $277.5
- User PnL
- -$105.45
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $167.74
- Potential payout
- $194.71
- Potential profit
- $26.97
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $129.99
- Potential payout
- $176.85
- Potential profit
- $46.87
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.55
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $210.92
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.66
No position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.83
Yes position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.1
Yes position
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.42
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$43.97
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$57.32
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.4
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$97.05
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$147.06
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$163.13
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$179.04
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$220.96
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$292.73
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$895.38
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73% 2.74 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 74.1% 174.11 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 13% 979.71 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.2% 194.71 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.2% 7,569.17 shares
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Yes 12% 167.12 shares
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 17.1% 58.44 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 25% 500.6 shares
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Yes 10% 1,215.18 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 1.8% 328.52 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 75.4% 175.02 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37.8% 50.31 shares