N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Polymarket Trader
weatherDoge
0xa8cd5becc42d67ebb1988207761a81b1379f0d51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.24
- Realized PnL
- $941.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $522.78
- Potential profit
- $522.78
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.73
- Potential profit
- $454.73
- User PnL
- -$51.92
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $224.45
- Potential profit
- $219.74
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$19.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.4
- Potential profit
- $108.4
- User PnL
- -$21.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $61.63
- Potential payout
- $70.03
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $29.89
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $45.2
- Potential profit
- $41.36
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $31.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $30.56
- Potential profit
- $30.53
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.94
Yes position
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $30.16
- Potential profit
- $29.95
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $14.86
- Potential profit
- $14.82
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.82
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.12
No position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.26
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.66
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $56.14
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.21
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
No position
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 3?Yes 4% 39 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 3?Yes 55% 6 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 3?Yes 53% 5.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?No 99% 30.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?No 63% 10 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on July 3?Yes 14.1% 52.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?No 13% 10.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?No 10% 15.6 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 2?No 30% 2.69 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?Yes 28.1% 25.39 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?Yes 26.5% 5.19 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 0.2% 520.78 shares