Polymarket Trader

MysticMike

0xa8cf138edf8cc482cfffed88a42e455ead8e6b0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $629.88
Realized PnL: $5.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $81.12
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$551.72

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$620

Yes position

Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$97.94

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $186.71
Potential payout: $982.66
Potential profit: $795.96
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$88.29

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $589.96
Potential profit: $589.96
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.71
Potential profit: $559.71
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $474.1
Potential profit: $474.1
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.12
Potential profit: $465.12
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $293.04
Potential payout: $293.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $186.04

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $66.95
Potential payout: $283.7
Potential profit: $216.74
Multiplier: 4.24x
User PnL: -$53.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" this week? (February 1)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.98
Potential profit: $276.98
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $863.02

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.37

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.34

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.48

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.55

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.52

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.49

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.42

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.84

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.82

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.46

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.23

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.68

100k position

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.32

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.44

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.74

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.5

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.04

Yes position

Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.66

No position

Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Ansem position

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $30.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 8.1% 617.78 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 16.7% 299.26 shares
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 6.6% 756.84 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 16% 517.83 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 15.5% 646.46 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 18.9% 527.75 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 20.9% 479.19 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 28.7% 349.04 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 26.7% 374.15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.9% 746.26 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 67% 746.27 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Yes 36.5% 293.04 shares