Polymarket Trader

FishyAF

0xa8d2776014f3eb99b6c208d3daa22d9014b6d6d2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.47K
Realized PnL: $25.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $389.5K
Potential profit: $389.5K
User PnL: -$400.8

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.67K
Potential profit: $175.67K
User PnL: -$13.41K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.41K
Potential profit: $119.41K
User PnL: -$8.27K

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.82K
Potential profit: $17.82K
User PnL: -$3.45K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$154

Texans position

Texans vs. Seahawks

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.05K
Potential profit: $9.05K
User PnL: -$90.42

Yes position

Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4K
Potential profit: $8.4K
User PnL: -$302.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $7.55K
Potential profit: $41.5
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $4.33K
User PnL: -$99.28

Yes position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$33.79

No position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$917.88

Yes position

Will Oliver Thomas win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$15.22

Yes position

Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$180.14

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$24.94

Yes position

Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$9.27

Yes position

Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$562.64

Yes position

Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$5.83

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$7.13

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $963.45
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $122.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $943.71

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $994.99
Potential profit: $992.01
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$27.86

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $992
Potential profit: $992
User PnL: -$250.62

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $883.2
Potential profit: $883.2
User PnL: -$150.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Reddit IPO at between $7.5b-10b valuation?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Circle IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

OpenAI Sora public release before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Martin Shkreli and GCR bet $1m on $DJT being real?

Ends Jun 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $923.1

No position

Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.56

No position

Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $70m-80m opening weekend?

Ends Mar 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.41

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.82

No position

GPT-5 released in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.21

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.49

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645

No position

Will Microsoft buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.37

No position

NVIDIA largest company before June 15?

Ends Jun 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.73

No position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.97

No position

Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.24

Yes position

GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $386.55

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.61

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 1.8% 972.19 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 65% 211 shares
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Yes 48.9% 411.15 shares
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

No 99% 100 shares
Databricks IPO before 2027?

No 51% 58.5 shares
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

No 63% 147 shares
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

No 47.1% 315.64 shares
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)

Indiana 58% 100 shares
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

No 89.4% 526.49 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 85% 5,000 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 85% 45.48 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 84.9% 2,500 shares