Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $993.49
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$77.48
Polymarket Trader
JayScorned
0xa8e0ceb5f331e79f54530a789f6d6502c9bf70e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $571.77
- Realized PnL
- $182.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $384.28
- Potential payout
- $809
- Potential profit
- $424.73
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $19.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.53
- Potential profit
- $167.53
- User PnL
- -$152
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.84
- Potential profit
- $124.84
- User PnL
- -$100
N
No position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.67
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.46
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $8
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Craig Federighi say "Gemini" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
N
No position
Will Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 183.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 41% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8.4% 999.99 shares
- Will Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 84% 5.62 shares
- Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 83% 0.78 shares
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 28% 20 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 93.4% 118.31 shares
- Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 99% 16 shares
- Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 80.1% 124.84 shares
- Will Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 95.6% 104.55 shares
- Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 99% 9.67 shares