Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $109.77
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $935.68
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$5.23
Polymarket Trader
0xa8E337254abb9dD25f2570F2BC4b7De5c5985368-1782805847322
0xa8e337254abb9dd25f2570f2bc4b7de5c5985368
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $212.25
- Realized PnL
- $52.12
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $665.33
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $363.94
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $231.31
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $161.92
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $128.95
- Potential profit
- $126.69
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Trump praise Recep Tayyip Erdoğan by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.91
- Potential profit
- $123.91
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $119.41
- Potential profit
- $114.46
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $107.33
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $91.11
- Potential profit
- $76.62
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $28.23
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $57.97
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $63.02
- Potential profit
- $62.57
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Over position
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump praise Ahmed al-Sharaa by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $20.91
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Over position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.99
Over position
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1.6% 128.95 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 6% 116.67 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 11% 1,045.45 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 42% 7.14 shares
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48% 8.33 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes 16% 12.5 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over 27% 11.11 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes 27% 14.81 shares
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes 11% 36.36 shares