0xthe0

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $738.71
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $21.21

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $35.22
Potential payout: $733.83
Potential profit: $698.61
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$64.78

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $117.31
Potential payout: $572.25
Potential profit: $454.94
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$82.69

$3k position

Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.29
Potential profit: $420.29
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.35
Potential profit: $312.35
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $32.09
Potential payout: $152.81
Potential profit: $120.72
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$17.91

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$50

Bucks position

76ers vs. Bucks

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$25

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Spurs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.23
Potential profit: $49.23
User PnL: -$25

Mavericks position

Knicks vs. Mavericks

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Steelers position

Steelers vs. Bears

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.26
Potential profit: $34.26
User PnL: -$15

Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Patriots position

Spread: Patriots (-7.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$15

Over position

Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$15

Raiders position

Cowboys vs. Raiders

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Oilers vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$15

Over position

Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 231.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$15

Under position

76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$15

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Sabres

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 5+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.49

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

76ers position

Clippers vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Under position

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

Magic position

Warriors vs. Magic

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Under position

Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Over position

Steelers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Over position

Hurricanes vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Trail Blazers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Heat position

Knicks vs. Heat

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Eagles position

Lions vs. Eagles

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 3+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?