Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $9.86
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
0xa8e7...08a2
0xa8e7fe76de02cb8c160b6dc6753aa541eaaa08a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.31
- Realized PnL
- -$31.91
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $18.6
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Ends Jun 30, 2028- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Y
Yes position
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
N
No position
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
No position
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Ends Jun 30, 2028- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$5.79
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$8.11
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
N
No position
Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No 38% 5 shares
- US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No 77% 19 shares
- Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes 28% 20 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 36% 23 shares
- Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?No 10.2% 40 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 18% 85 shares