Polymarket Trader

Golanido

0xa8f878d5027bbf73bb5d34e6db546abc04fe0e46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $922.42
Realized PnL: $18.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.16K
Potential profit: $381.16K
User PnL: -$4.8K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62K
Potential profit: $62K
User PnL: -$1.6K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.22K
Potential profit: $10.22K
User PnL: -$199.99

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$20

No position

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$389.95

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $133.49
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $934.42
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$196.51

No position

Claude 4.7 released by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$110

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $859.42
Potential profit: $859.42
User PnL: -$150

No position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $568.03
Potential payout: $649.18
Potential profit: $81.15
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $18.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582.57
Potential profit: $582.57
User PnL: -$400

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $569.4
Potential profit: $569.4
User PnL: -$400

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.56
Potential profit: $523.56
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.2
Potential profit: $465.2
User PnL: -$200

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $218.77
Potential payout: $297.65
Potential profit: $78.88
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $41.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.99
Potential profit: $267.99
User PnL: -$67.79

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $213.33
Potential profit: $211.2
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$21.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.58
Potential profit: $202.58
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.01
Potential profit: $143.01
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.18

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.29

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.29

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 61% 705.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Down 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 96% 104.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 44% 56.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 47.9% 52.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 49% 51.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 99% 101.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 74.6% 125.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Down 48.5% 206.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 90.3% 110.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 97% 103.09 shares