Polymarket Trader

simirduro526

0xa9057ddd942ea8446ccf83ddb1156f294e6a1938

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.8
Realized PnL: $31.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.07
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $10.97
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $9.84
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $11.76
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $11.32
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.06
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.13
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $12.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $10.91
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $12.13
Potential profit: $11.48
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.8%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will XRP reach $2.70 December 1-7?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Solana dip to $100 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will XRP reach $2.60 November 17-23?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 82.8% 12.13 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 96.3% 10.52 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 95% 10.53 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?

No 99.8% 6,407.78 shares
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 99.4% 438.18 shares
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 99.3% 2,666.26 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.5% 1.05 shares
Will XRP reach $2.50 December 15-21?

No 99.6% 1 shares
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on December 17?

No 99.9% 16.78 shares
Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on December 16?

No 99.9% 16.77 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 15?

No 99.9% 16.75 shares