Polymarket Trader

hoplog

0xa9061b4fac6988778cf41f4f1a849f72a206bfbc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: -$501.78
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.4%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $536.22
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$84.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $101.75
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $255.39
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $109.26
Potential payout: $283.78
Potential profit: $174.53
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Anduril IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $15.6
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Miami position

Spread: Miami (-3.5)

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$38.87

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$400

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

No 90.6% 1,103.81 shares
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

No 46.3% 647.98 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 9.6% 10.42 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 28% 357.14 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 37% 283.78 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 322.58 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Yes 23.6% 301.78 shares
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Yes 37.9% 264.08 shares
Oregon vs. Indiana

Oregon 40% 50 shares