No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $6.36
Polymarket Trader
LVParchment
0xa913e057d8e05634c1ba55ed5c5dbc4fb9f8048f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $29.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- $2.12
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.77x
- User PnL
- $2.12
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Iowa State position
BYU vs. Iowa State
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 59 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 194 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 346 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 27% 346 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 1.9% 177 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.5% 20 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.9% 20 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.2% 146 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.7% 495 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 129 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 129 shares