Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $29.37
- Potential payout
- $210.53
- Potential profit
- $181.16
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$10.63
Polymarket Trader
TinTin777
@fcWkWuB2wlM1lCs
0xa91b611a9148d39b101374f2a1d5fe53f780a5e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $603.09
- Realized PnL
- $431.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $187.14
- Potential payout
- $209.1
- Potential profit
- $21.96
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $39.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $110.14
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $34.78
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $103.45
- Potential payout
- $128.51
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $68.6
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $47.67
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$31.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $104.37
- Potential payout
- $105.11
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- User PnL
- $4.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.94
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.55
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.07
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.84
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
No position
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.53
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.9% 107.37 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 29.7% 177.23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 128.51 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 94.1% 31.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.1% 107.38 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 60% 122.07 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 100.91 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.1% 105.11 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 90.8% 105.5 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No 99.9% 96.05 shares