Polymarket Trader

JolyonAshkettle

0xa9241039709ea85cb46020c2327faf6022090dec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.4K
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $5.32K
User PnL: -$1.33K

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $383.21
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.42

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $213.33

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.2%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $166.49

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.64

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.57

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $16.74

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.41

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: -$16.64

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.1%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$22.32

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$206.95

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$287.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 78.5% 1,778.24 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.8% 3,742.65 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.1% 3,742.65 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 79.8% 219.68 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 79.9% 1,972.2 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 71.6% 880.06 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 14% 1,436.99 shares
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 93% 1,046.93 shares
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Yes 92.5% 100 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 16,641 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.1% 16,641 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 60.8% 3,348 shares