FkaikF

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $107.61
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $81.73
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $14.77
Potential payout: $86.12
Potential profit: $71.35
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $20.34
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $41.77
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $16.82
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $28.64
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $34.79
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $31.17
Potential profit: $26.49
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $18.68
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $16.96
Potential profit: $11.61
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $11.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $6.47
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $5.61
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.14

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?