Polymarket Trader

gh789

0xa96ae84591a9d0cf734294b70404fd4c1449dd9f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $534.5
Realized PnL: $515.49
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $646.66
Potential profit: $639.87
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$13.21

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $46.43
Potential payout: $623.26
Potential profit: $576.83
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$182.81

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $585
Potential profit: $585
User PnL: -$315.16

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.62
Potential profit: $549.62
User PnL: -$70.9

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $111.63
Potential payout: $391.82
Potential profit: $280.19
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.2
Potential profit: $330.2
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$99.2

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $245.32
Potential profit: $241.64
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$16.32

Yes position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $157.84
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $60.24

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $109.85
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$11.05

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $32.45
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $77.55
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $103.39
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.2
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $10.32
Potential payout: $96.94
Potential profit: $86.62
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $53.64
Potential payout: $69.22
Potential profit: $15.57
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $12.64

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $13.9
Potential payout: $68.03
Potential profit: $54.12
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $10.67
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $56
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $59.31
Potential profit: $53.68
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.86

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $25.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $14.2
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $36.46
Potential profit: $27.8
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $1.66

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.1
Potential profit: $24.1
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.5

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.68

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.15

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.2% 36.46 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 68.03 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 71.94 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 52% 40 shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Yes 5.7% 200 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes 70% 30 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 147.78 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 27.8% 107.9 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 66.4% 15.06 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Yes 99.9% 35.71 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares