No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $66.75
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Polymarket Trader
0xA97b11A27B96FD94B6E463Bb41aa8f07f29F8E8F-1768397227226
0xa97b11a27b96fd94b6e463bb41aa8f07f29f8e8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.83
- Realized PnL
- $11.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $28.53
- Multiplier
- 4.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $16.26
- Potential payout
- $17.2
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $7.98
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.59
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $6.19
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.57
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.8
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.57
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $1.73
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
N
No position
Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Lee Cheol-woo win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Trump say "Mount McKinley" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
N
No position
Will Trump say "Penguin" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No 93% 6.45 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No 97% 6.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.9% 2.33 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 38% 2.63 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 96.2% 11.43 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 21.74 shares
- Will Trump say "N Word" this week?No 98.7% 2.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Lee Cheol-woo win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes 97.6% 20.48 shares
- Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes 99.1% 1.01 shares