Polymarket Trader

BetNovaa

0xa99562acf3a4b891ad8c09cd67af20b86cd51be0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $429.79
Realized PnL: $21.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $345.09
Potential payout: $345.61
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $47.87

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $82.53
Potential payout: $101.27
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $18.73

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.01K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $559.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.59

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $392.28

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $320.18

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.09

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.84

DN SOOPers position

LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.63

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.8

Dplus KIA position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.04

CTBC Flying Oyster position

First Blood in Game 1?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.42

DRX position

LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.49

Caio Borralho position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 253.11 shares
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

Team Vitality 89% 153.87 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

No 99.9% 5 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

BNK FEARX 32.9% 30 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

BNK FEARX 60% 30 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Team WE 99.9% 20 shares
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Aurora 99.9% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 Winner

Aurora Gaming 99.9% 5 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sean Strickland 99.9% 5 shares
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alexander Volkov 99.9% 21,240 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Weibo Gaming 99.9% 6 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Weibo Gaming 99.9% 10 shares