Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.2K
- Potential profit
- $9.2K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Polymarket Trader
TheChange0.2
0xa9964972ac7fefa772ceb380cb08cf0c0dd6e251
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $407.58
- Realized PnL
- $2.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.87
- Potential profit
- $391.87
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.18
- Potential profit
- $303.18
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.26
- Potential profit
- $243.26
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.44
- Potential profit
- $222.44
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.9
- Potential profit
- $209.9
- User PnL
- -$199.5
Hornets position
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.81
- Potential profit
- $194.81
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.85
- Potential profit
- $154.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.05
- Potential profit
- $127.05
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.54
- Potential profit
- $119.54
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.19
- Potential profit
- $119.19
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.96
- Potential profit
- $116.96
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $102.11
- Potential payout
- $114.09
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $101.12
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.25
- Potential profit
- $106.25
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.01
- Potential profit
- $106.01
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $101.66
- Potential payout
- $105.73
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $102.69
- Potential payout
- $104.04
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.65
- Potential profit
- $103.65
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.25
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.59
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.35
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.09
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.26
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.49
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.69
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.86
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.73
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.38
No position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.98
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.41
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.15
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.37
No position
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.38
No position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.6
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.69
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?No 87.6% 114.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?No 96.1% 104.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?No 89% 112.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?No 94.6% 105.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 18?No 99.9% 55.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?No 99.9% 101.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?No 99.9% 101.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?No 99.9% 106.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?No 99.9% 107.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 18?No 90.1% 55.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 18?No 97.1% 103 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?No 93.3% 107.21 shares