Polymarket Trader

h4ll

0xa9d7006dfaf85b94bb0ad6508547decd171bce9b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.54
Realized PnL: -$8.75
Win rate: 5.3%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $90.21
Potential profit: $83.27
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.44
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.62
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $5.83
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.46

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Pelicans position

Lakers vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 30% 5.83 shares
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?

Yes 5% 6.25 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes 15% 3.84 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Yes 0.9% 100 shares
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Yes 1.2% 49.6 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Yes 1.1% 88.61 shares
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 6.8% 14.71 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 11.8% 8.46 shares
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.5% 400 shares